President Saakashvili's propagandistic declarations about Russia's receding at the WTO talks are not having a real basis and are usual PR which is natural for Georgian President, - Viktor Yakubin, expert in South Caucasus said.
He underlined that initially Georgia was not an object at these talks, the negotiations basically was between USA and Russia.
Apparently, Russia made a concession in giving the right for Swiss side to monitor the territory, but USA in turn made compromised in some internal political questions concerning Georgia. And this will be evident in the nearest several months.
The expert said that the first signal that Washington started to fulfill its part of obligations under the WTO talks is the publication of ex-State secretary Condoleezza Rais, which are proving the psychical instability of Georgian President. This unstableness, to the point was a main reason of a war in South Ossetia in 2008. The second signal is a nature of declarations of NATO Secretary General, Andres Fogh Rasmussen who made a main stress to a necessity for democratic reforms in Georgia; factually he demanded the conduction of democratic elections from President Saakashvli.
Expert supposes that Bidzina Ivanishvili, businessman-turned-politician has a strong guaranties form USA to act against Saakashvili, and quite possibly the same guaranties he could get from Moscow as well.
Expert underlined that USA and Russia came into conclusion about necessity to destroy the post-war status quo of Georgia, which hinders to the development of the country itself and hinders to the stability of a region.
USA got what it wished. They freed from the explosive-dangerous territorial problems. At the same time with the reconciliation of Georgia with Russia they will lift the treat to its transit plans. Nevertheless the Georgia's economy cannot develop without the Russian market. That's why when replacing Saakashvili to the post new politician will be appointed who will soften relations with Russia. The Bidzian Ivanishvili's role will be main here. At the same time he can delegate his electoral potential to any politician, for example to Alasania. The Georgian press informs that Saakashvili may resign in December. New President can start dialogue with Putin soon after inauguration. This will give a wide perspective, particularly Georgia can resort the railway connections with Russia over Abkhazia. This will unblock Armenia as well, giving to the Karabachos conflict another hue. Medvediev talked recently about a new system of communication for Armenia.
Jakubin said that USA and Russia decided the problem for Russia's WTO entry at expense of Abakhzia, S.O. and Saakashvili. President Saakashvili will loose more than Abakhzia and South Ossetia, as the monitoring will be only formal one. But the real control over the border there will not be. He will get an information only about number of tourists crossed the border and tons of mandarins sold. Moral damages have Sokhumi and Tskhinvali, - they were not asked. All what Saakashvili got is a statistics how many people will spend holyday at seaside and how many people transported citruses.
